000 
FXUS65 KCYS 140933
AFDCYS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
230 AM MST TUE MAR 14 2000

ATTENTION IS FOCUSED ON SYSTEM IN THE NW WHICH IS PROGGED TO MV THRU
THE CWA ON WED.  THE FORECAST PROBLEM IS HOW MUCH PRECIP WL FALL
ACRS THE AREA WED.  ALL MODELS SIMILAR...HOWEVER THE NGM/ETA APPEAR
TO HAVE A BETTER PLCMT ON THE FEATURES ACRS THE NW US.  LONG WAVE
PTRN SHOWS THE UPR RIDGE OVR THE AREA FLATTENING AS TROF DEEPENS
OVR THE NW AND MVS ACRS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST THROUGH WED.  RIDGE
BLDS ALG THE WEST COAST THRU THE PD.  A WK S/WV MVS ACRS THE CWA
TODAY WITH MID AND HIGH CLDS SPILLING OVR THE FLATTENING RIDGE.  A
STRONGER S/WV WL MV ACRS THE FORECAST AREA WED AND WED NIGHT...WITH
THE MAJORITY OF THE ENERGY PASSING THRU UT AND CO.  SFC LO PROGGED
TO MV ONTO THE CNTL PLNS DRG THIS TIME...WITH ANOTHER SFC LO OVR
SRN CO OR NRN NM.  ALTHOUGH THIS POSITION IS TO FAR SOUTH FOR THE
CYS CWA BLV THAT PLENTY OF MOISTURE WL BE AVBL ALONG WITH UPSLP FLOW
TO CREATE FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL.  ETA SHOWS A BULLS EYE
OF UVV OVR SE WY 18Z WED.  DAYSHIFT WL HAVE TO MONITOR AND WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORIES WL MOST LIKELY BE NEEDED...MAINLY IN SE MTNS AND
SE WY PLNS.  CD FNT WL ALSO MV THRU THE STATE EARLY WED AND THKNS WL
DECRS RAPIDLY...PRECIP WL BE ALL SNOW.

.CYS...
WY...NONE.
NE...NONE.

DAUGHERTY