000 
FXHW60 PHFO 140200
AFDHI 
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SYNOPTIC DISCUSSION AND GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
4 PM HST MON MAR 13 2000

SUMMARY
SUNNY AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUES OVER THE ALOHA STATE. THE TRADE
WINDS REMAIN WEAK AND LAND AND SEA BREEZES PREVAIL IN MANY
LOCATIONS. THE FORECAST IS FOR TRADE WINDS TO STRENGTHEN BEGINNING
FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH SOME TRADE SHOWERS LIKELY TO
ACCOMPANY THIS STRENGTHENING.

DISCUSSION
THE SYNOPTIC WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS UNCHANGED WITH THE RIDGE IN
THE SURFACE FLOW NEARBY TO THE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. LITTLE CHANGE
INDICATED TILL FRIDAY WHEN A NEW AND STRONGER SURFACE HIGH WILL
STRENGTHEN TO THE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS BRINGING BACK THE TRADE
WINDS AND ALONG WITH THEM SOME WINDWARD AND MAUKA SHOWERS. THIS
MAY BE ENOUGH TO GET US OUT OF THE PRESENT DRY PATTERN INTO A
WETTER ONE WHILE WE STILL HAVE A FEW WEEKS OF RAINY SEASON LEFT.
THE JET STREAM FLOW AT UPPER LEVELS ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC IS AS
STRONG AND WINTERLIKE AS CAN BE  SO ALL WE NEED IS SOME GOOD
MEANDERS TO DEVELOP IN THE JET STREAM  AND THE CUTTING OFF OF LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS IN THE RIGHT LOCATIONS TO MAKE IT WET.  NONE OF
THIS IS IN SIGHT IN THE MODELS AT THIS TIME HOWEVER. THE MODELS 
GO OUT 10 DAYS. 

SURF
NORTHWEST SWELL FROM A LOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF HERE A COUPLE OF
DAYS AGO IS ARRIVING AT OUR SHORES AND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 6 TO
8 FOOT SURF LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT ON KAUAI AND OAHU. A DEEPER
AND MORE INTENSE STORM WILL BE NORTHWEST OF HERE ON FRIDAY FOR
SOME NW SURF OF PERHAPS CLOSE TO 15 FEET NEXT MONDAY FOR ONE OF
THE LAST BIG SURFS OF THE WINTER SEASON.  WE WILL BE ENTERING THE
SPRING SEASON ON SUNDAY AS VERNAL EQUINOX WILL BE 9:35 PM HST ON
MARCH 19TH...OR 0735 UTC ON MARCH 20TH.  ROSENDAL  

.PHFO.....WARNINGS.....NONE
.         WATCHES......NONE
.         ADVISORIES...NONE