000 
FXUS64 KAMA 161639
AFDAMA

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1037 AM CST SUN JAN 16 2000

SFC BOUNDARY SHOWING UP WELL ON MSAS STRETCHING ACROSS CNTRL OK
INTO ERN TX PNHDL THEN LOOPING NW INTO NE NM. PREFNTL TROUGH
STRETCHING S TO E LBB. PRESSURE RISES BEHIND FNT FM SW KS INTO NE
CORNER FA SO SOME FURTHER SWWRD MOVEMENT STILL POSSIBLE. HVL KS
PROFILER INDICATES ERLY FLOW UP TO 850MB WITH WINDS VEERING QUICKLY
ABV THAT SO AIRMASS RELATIVELY SHALLOW.

SATL SHOWING ST ADVECTING INTO BEAVER CO AND FAR NE TX
PNHDL BEHIND WEAK FNT. NRLY SFC FLOW EXPECTED TO VEER TO E/SE THIS
AFTN IN RESPONSE TO DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH. 12Z NGM KEEPS
CAA/RIDGING GOING LONGER SO WE MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH FCST HIGHS ESP
NE. STILL PLENTY OF WARM AIR ABOVE BOUNDARY SO THERE IS A POTENTIAL
FOR QUICK WARM UP REST OF FA.

WILL NEED TO UPDATE ZNS FOR AFTN WORDING. MAY EVEN NEED TO INCREASE
CLOUD AMOUNTS IN BEAVER CO IF ST CO]NTINUES TO FILL IN. DAYTIME
MIXING THOUGH SHOULD LIMIT THIS WITH SHALLOW NATURE OF COLD AIR.

.AMA...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

COBB