750 
FXUS64 KOHX 020836
AFDBNA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
230 AM CST THU DEC 02 1999

LATEST HAND SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH STILL RIDGING OVER EASTERN
USA AS PRESSURE GRADIENT BEGINS TO TIGHTEN UP WITH DEVELOPING
CENTRAL PLAINS LOW.

SATELLITE SHOWING QUITE A BIT OF CIRRUS DOWN THROUGH CENTRAL PLAINS
AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROF IN CO/NM. UPPER RIDGE IN PLACE
OVER TENNESSEE WILL WORK SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH TIME.

00Z NGM AND ETA IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT. AVN WAS FASTER THAN THE
OTHERS. WILL GO WITH THE SLOWER ETA/NGM. FIRST SHORT WAVE LIFTS OUT
ON FRIDAY AND AND TAKES ON NEGATIVE TILT AND THEN WEAKENS AS IT
SWINGS OFF TO OUR NORTH.

WINDS CRANK UP ON FRIDAY SO WILL GO BREEZY EVERYWHERE EXCEPT FOR PLATEAU
AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS. TEMPS SHOULD GET INTO MID 60S WITH DECENT WARM
AIR ADVECTION BUT WITH LOW LEVEL CLOUDS COULD CURB TEMPS BACK A BIT.

DO EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT IN MIDDLE
TENNESSEE. WITH NEGATIVE TILT ON SHORT WAVE THINK SOME STORMS COULD BE
SEVERE BUT MAINLY WEST AND NORTHWEST OF MY CWA AS THIS IS AREA OF
BEST DYNAMICS. LATER SHIFTS SHOULD MONITOR SITUATION.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS:
NASHVILLE  63 44 65 50  0044
CROSSVILLE 59 38 61 45  0033

.BNA...NONE.
BOYD