828 
FXUS63 KGRB 042015
AFDGRB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
315 PM CDT MON OCT 4 1999

PRECIP CHC LT TONIGHT INTO TUES MORNING IS THE FCST CONCERN FOR THIS
PACKAGE.

SFC HIGH PRESSURE WAS RIDGED ACROSS SE WI INTO NORTH LOWER MI EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH A WEAK SW WIND FLOW OVER GRB CWA. A LARGE AREA OF SC
HAD DEVELOPED ACROSS NC/NE WI...WITH ONLY A FEW CU NOTED ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FA. TEMPERATURES WERE GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 40S 
AND LOWER 50S. WV IMAGERY SHOWED TWO FAST MOVG S/W TROFS HEADED TOWARD
WI. THE FIRST WAVE WAS MOVG THRU CNTRL ND AND WAS SPREADING MID/HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDINESS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. THE SECOND S/W TROF WAS MOVG
INTO NE MT.   

MODELS AGREE ON BRINGING SOME LIFT AND INCREASING MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
ACROSS MAINLY NC/NE WI LT TONIGHT INTO TUES AM. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF
SOME FAIRLY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...FEEL THAT THIS SYSTEM MAY
BE ABLE TO WRING OUT SOME SCT MEASURABLE PRECIP...ESP NEAR THE WI/UPPER
MI BORDER. HAVE ADDED A SMALL POP TO COVER. THIS SYSTEM WILL EXIT
QUICKLY TUES MORNING...FOLLOWED BY PARTLY SUNNY SKIES. SOME CAA CU WILL
DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE SFC COLD FRONT...BUT SUBSIDENCE AND DRYING
SHOULD OFFSET THIS TO SOME DEGREE.

FWC MOS LOOKS PRETTY GOOD...BUT HAVE TRIMMED BACK MIN TEMPS TUESDAY NGT
AS RIDGE BUILDS BACK INTO THE AREA.

COORD WITH ARX.

.GRB...NONE

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