228 
FXUS62 KMHX 110208 COR
AFDMHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
923 PM EDT FRI SEP 10 1999

JUST ABOUT SKC EVERYWHERE SO MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE IS
TEMPERATURES. WAVY...DIFFUSE...DEWPOINT BNDRY LIES FROM ROUGHLY RIC
TO LBT AND SSC. 40S-50S DEWPOINTS BEHIND THIS WHILE UPPER 60S-LOW
70S REMAIN TO THE EAST.  FRONT HAS MOVED LITTLE SINCE 21Z. WITH DRY
AIR SLOW TO FILTER IN TONIGHT...MAY HAVE TO RAISE MINS NEAR THE
COAST UPWARD. MODELS DO NOT BRING IN DRIER DEWPOINTS TIL AFT 06Z.

COASTAL WINDS HAVE REALLY RELAXED PAST 3 HRS AND WILL HAVE TO
INITIALIZE WELL BELOW CURRENT FORECAST. WITH THRUST OF DRY AIR
EXPECTED AROUND 09Z...WE SHOULD BEGIN TO SEE MORE OF A SURGE
DEVELOP...SO WILL KEEP INCREASE AROUND 20 KT INTACT.

.MHX...NONE.

ELARDO