369 
FXUS66 KLOX 072059
AFDLOX
SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
230 PM PDT SAT AUG 7 1999

LATEST SATELLITE SHOWS MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. IN SHORT TERM...NO MAJOR PROBLEMS FOR THE FORECAST. WITH
SBA-SMX AT -1.0 MB...MAY HAVE SOME WEAK SUNDOWNERS THIS EVENING OVER
SOUTHERN SBA COUNTY. HOWEVER...WINDS SHOULD BE LOCALIZED AND WELL 
BELOW ADVISORY CRIERIA.

FOR THE FORECAST...MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH KEEPING
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST THROUGH MONDAY...AND MAINTAINING 
WEAK ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE DISTRICT. MARINE LAYER STILL AROUND 
3000-4000 FEET DEEP THIS AFTERNOON...BUT INVERSION IS WEAK...
ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF PT CONCEPTION. MODELS DO NOT INDICATE ANYTHING 
THAT WOULD STRENGTHEN INVERSION OVERNIGHT...SO WILL NOT LOOK ANY
ORGANINZED SURGE OF STRATUS/FOG. WILL INDICATE PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT...AS CLOUD FORMATION SHOULD BE HAPHAZARD.
ON SUNDAY...MORNING CLOUDS SHOULD BURN OFF TO SUNNY AFTERNOON. FOR
SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY...BELIEVE INVERSION WILL BECOME STRONGER AND MORE
ESTABLISHED. THEREFORE...WILL INDICATE MORE NORMAL LOW CLOUDS/FOG
WORDING FOR SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY. WITH GOOD SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...
MONSOON MOISTURE WILL STAY FAR AWAY FROM THE SOUTHLAND.

AS FOR TEMPS...MODELS INDICATE ONLY MINOR CHANGES IN THICKNESSES AND 
BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THEREFORE...FOR SUNDAY AND 
MONDAY...WILL FORECAST TEMPS ABOUT THE SAME AS TODAYS HIGHS. HOWEVER
WITH MORE ORGANIZED MARINE LAYER EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING...COASTAL
TEMPS MAY BE A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER.  

LAX 0000. THOMPSON.

.LAX...NONE.