155 
FXUS64 KCRP 291414
AFDCRP
COASTAL BEND FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
915 AM CDT THU JUL 29 1999

DISCUSSION...12Z CRP SOUNDING DATA INDICATING A DRY AND RELATIVELY 
STABLE AIRMASS HOLDING REAL ESTATE OVER SOUTH TEXAS.  WATER VAPOR 
IMAGES ILLUSTRATES THE CLOSED CYCLONIC VORTEX PROPAGATING TO THE 
WEST NORTHWEST TOWARD THE REGION..AVN 400-250MB HEIGHT/VORT ANALYSES 
DEPICT THE FEATURE WELL AND FCST THE SYSTEM INLAND EARLY FRIDAY.  IN 
THE MEAN TIME..CWA EXISTS UNDER THE SUBSIDENT SECTOR OF THE LOWS 
CIRCULATION PATTERN..ISOLATED CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP 
ACROSS THE NRN AND ERN QUADS..HOWEVER WILL NOT INFLUENCE THE FCST AT 
THIS TIME.  AS THE LOW TRANSLATES INLAND..PWAT VALUES WILL INCREASE 
SLIGHTLY FROM THE 1.6 READING THIS MORNING.  MOISTURE PROFILES ARE 
EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW AND INSUFFICIENT FOR MENTION OF PCPN IN THE 
FCST..ALTHOUGH NOCTURNAL STRAY SHRAS (COASTAL AND EXTREME ERN FA) 
ARE POSSIBLE WHEN THE MOIST SIDE OF THE WAVE PENTRATES THE RIDGE 
INLAND BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AND SAT MORNING.

FCST REASONING IS IN PHASE WITH NO ALTERATIONS REQUIRED.

BML.76

.CRP...NONE.