466 
FXUS63 KICT 181939
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
239 PM CDT FRI JUN 18 1999

TNGT:
TEMPS AND POPS BOTH TRICKY TNGT.  CURRENT TEMPS IN RAINY AREAS CLOSE
TO ANTICIPATED MINS.  XPCT ONGOING PCPN TO BE ALG/E OF FLINT HILLS
BY 7PM/START OF VERIFICATION PD.  HOWEVER ENUF WARM AIR/MSTR ADVCTN
OVR ENTIRE RGN TO KEEP CHC POPS GOING E I-35. WL TRIM TO SLGT CHC IN
WRN SXNS WITH BEST LIFT IN E.  WITH PCPN LKLY GOING AT 7AM AND WARM
AIR ADVCTN CONTG INTO SE KS ON SAT...WL KEEP MRNG POPS GOING IN SE
KS GRP. MINS LKLY AOA BOTH MOS VALUES IN RTN FLOW REGIME...AND WL
SEE EITHER QUASI-STDY OR SLOWLY RISING TEMPS.

SAT-SAT NGT:
WILL DECR CLDS OVR ALL SXNS AND END PCPN IN E IN THE MRNG.  WITH
WARMER 850 TEMPS AND SOME SUNSHINE IN AFTN...TEMPS MOST LOCATIONS
BACK TO NEAR NORMAL.  SOME POTENTIAL FOR REPEAT PERFORMANCE SAT
NGT...BUT LIMITED TO XTRM SE KS AS H7 TROF PASG NIXES WARM AIR
ADVCTN AT OTHER LOCATIONS.  WITH PREV FCST DRY AND H85 TEMP ADVCTN
NOT AS IMPRESSIVE...WL NOT CHG ATTM.

SUN-MON:
HGTS CONT TO RISE THRUT PD.  H7 HI PRES BLDS OVR THE AREA SO CHCS OF
PCPN DWINDLE.  SHUD FINALLY SEE TEMPS RISE ABV NORMAL WITH MINS AOA
NORMAL ALSO.  SKIES TO REMAIN CLR/MSTLY CLR THRUT.  TSTM ACTIVITY
SHUD REMAIN OUTSIDE OF FCST AREA.

TUE-WED:
ECMWF SUG DECENT SHRTWV WL BE IN THE AREA ON TUE WITH WELL DVLPD LEE
SIDE TROF.  BEST CHCS FOR PCPN WOULD BE EITHER IN PRE-DAWN HRS TUES
OR TUE NGT.  WL NOT GET CUTE WITH WORDING.  SOME CHC IT COULD LINGER
INTO WED...BUT WITH UNCERTAINTY...WL JUST GO WITH TUE FOR NOW.

.ICT...NONE.