999 
FXUS63 KFSD 121944
AFDFSD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD 
245 PM CDT WED MAY 12 1999

WILL GO DCRG CLDS FAR ERN PART OF AREA OTRW CLR/MOCLR TNGT. GUIDNCE 
TEMPS LOOK OK WITH NOBODY GETTG REAL COOL. NEXT SYS LOOKS TO BE ON 
SAME SCHED WE HAVE BEEN CARRYNG. MODELS IN GNRL AGREEMNT THO NGM 
SEEMS TOO STG WITH NRN SFC FLO WHICH IT HAS OVER ERN MT AT 48 HRS. 
VERY GOOD LO/MID LVL FLOW PATTRN FOR TSTMS DVLPG BY THU NGT...TO 
COUNTERACT MRGNL MOISTR/INSTBLTY. WILL KEEP CHC THU AFTN FAR 
SW...9V9 TO PKS...OTRW WILL BRING IN THU NGT AND CONT FRI OVER AREA. 
50 PCT SEEMS BEST POPS RIGHT NOW...A LTL HIR THAN GUIDNCE. GUIDNCE 
TEMPS SEEM MORE OR LESS OK TO MAYBE A LTL COOL FOR THU THRU FRI. OF 
COURSE A SGNFCNT PCPN EVENT WUD HOLD DOWN HIGHS FRI BUT THERE WILL 
ALSO BE WRMNG. LTL PRBLM IN CONTG CHC TSTMS EACH DAY FOR SAT THRU 
MON...AS ALL MED RANGE MODELS CONT FVRBL CONVCTV PATTRN.

.FSD...NONE
WILLIAMS