999 
FXUS74 KMEG 110115
SFDMEM
TENNESSEE/MISSOURI BOOTHEEL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
800 PM CST SAT APR 10 1999

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE ARE WEAKENING AS THEY 
MOVE EASTWARD AND SPREAD INTO NORTHWEST MIDDLE TENNESSEE. NO 
ACTIVITY IS PRESENTLY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE. HOWEVER THE ATMOSPHERE
REMAINS UNSTABLE OVER TENNESSEE WITH LIFTED INDICIES OF -2 TO -4... 
SURFACE DEW POINTS 65 TO 70 DEG F...850MB DEW POINTS AROUND 10 DEG 
C...CAPES OF 1800J/KG...AND WELL AHEAD OF THE DRY FRONT ACROSS 
SOUTHERN MISSOURI/WESTERN ARKANSAS. CANT RULE OUT REDEVELOPMENT OF 
NEW CONVECTION LATER TONIGHT. RAIN COOLED AIR/OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES 
OVER NORTHWEST TENNESSEE COULD ALSO ACT AS LIFTING MECHANISMS. 
THEREFORE WILL LOWER POPS SLIGHTLY (TO 30 TO 40 PERCENT) IN WEST 
TENNESSEE AND IN SOUTH MIDDLE TENNESSEE TONIGHT. FIFTY PERCENT STILL 
LOOKS GOOD FOR NORTH MIDDLE. WILL ALSO LOWER POPS TO 
CHANCE/SCATTERED TONIGHT AND RAISE TEMPERATURES TONIGHT IN THE EAST. 
BNA AND MRX THANX FOR THE INPUT...GREAT JOB...

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