999 
FXUS62 KILM 101835
AFDILM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
235 PM EDT SAT APR 10 1999

12Z MDL RUNS SHOW THE NXT IN SERIES OF FAST-MVG UPR STORMS MVG ACRS 
THE GREAT LAKES THRU TMRW FLATTENING THE WK RDG OVR THE AREA. 
MOISTURE/LIFT TO INCRS TNGT/EARLY SUN BUT BEST IS PROGD TO STAY N OF 
AREA. HI PRES NOSING OVR RGN WL MV OFFSHR THIS EVE ALLOWING SOME 
RETURN FLOW OFF ATLC. SFC FNT NOW S OF CWA PROGD TO DRIFT BACK N AS 
A WMFNT LATE TNGT INTO TMRW USHERING IN MORE L0-LVL RH. SOME FNTL 
CONVG AND WK OMEGA PLUS A BRIEF SHOT OF CONVG FM RRQ OF UPR JETLET 
SHUD PRODUCE SOME RW TWD DAWN. BUFKIT CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS (TT NEAR 
50 & K ARND 30) SHOW A FEW TRW POSS MAINLY INL WHERE BEST INSTAB 
EXISTS. MID/UPR-LVL MOISTURE DECREASES TMRW AFTN AS THE CDFNT 
APRCHS. W/ LINGERING LO-LVL RH & GREATER INSTAB/CAPE ACRS THE 
CWA...WL HAVE TO WATCH FOR ANY ISOL STRG TRWS. SFC LO REDEVELOPS OVR 
SRN VA SUN EVE THEN DRAGS CDFNT ACRS FA SUN NGT W/ MINIMAL MOISTURE/ 
SFC CONVG. AMS VRY DRY FOR MON BUT CI AHD OF NXT UPR SYS WL MV IN 
DURING THE AFTN.

SO FOR TNGT INCRSG CLDS W/ A SLGT POP LATE. MOS POPS IN THE CHC AREA 
TMRW/SLGT CHC ALL BUT PEE DEE TMRW EVE LOOK FINE. 

WL GO W/ FAN/LAMP TEMPS FOR TNGT. CLDS SHUD OFFSET WK WAA SUN & AM 
LEANING TWD FWC TEMPS. GUID IN AGREEMENT FOR SUN NGT & WL ACCEPT. W/ 
PLENTY OF APRIL SUN & WLY FLOW ON MON WL GO W/ WARMER FWC TEMPS.

CWF: WINDS TO VEER FULL 360 DEGS THRU THE PD AS THE SFC HI PULLS OUT 
& THE CDFNT CROSSES. NO STRG PRES GRAD UNTIL FROPA WHEN ETA/AVN 
BRING IN SCA WINDS. AFTER CONFERRING W/ MHX...WL HEADLINE FOR MON & 
KEEP JUST BLO TIL THEN.

PRELIM CCF:
ILM CU 058/074 055/079 043 242
FLO CU 061/078 054/079 042 241

.ILM...NONE.

LGE