999 
FXUS62 KMHX 100132
AFDMHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
930 PM EDT FRI APR 9 1999

WESTERLY FLOW NOT GOOD FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN ERN NC PER 00Z 
MHX RAOB WITH PRONOUNCED SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AROUND 750 MB. BUT 
LOWER LVLS UNSTABLE AND MAY HAVE ENOUGH LIFT WITH FRONT AND TAIL END 
OF SHORT WV FOR WDLY SCT ACTVTY ALONG FRONT LATER TONIGHT. AWIPS 
DISTANCE/SPEED FEATURE OFF RADAR LOOP EXTRAPOLATES LINE OVER AKQ 
AREA STAYING MAINLY N OF ALBEMARLE SOUND. CURRENTLY THINKING OF 
30-50 % POPS NRN TIER FOR UPDATE AND KEEP 20 % REST OF CWA.

CWF: WINDS HOWLING AT DIAMOND SHOALS BUT 25-30 MORE PREDOMINANT AND 
WILL BE DECREASING WITH APPROACH OF FRONT. CONTINUE SCA. 

.MHX...SCA COASTAL WATERS AND SOUNDS. 

JBM