999 
FXUS62 KJAX 101912
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
210 PM EST WED MAR 10 1999

NORTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW ADVECTING DRIER AIR INTO AREA WITH MOST
DEWPOINTS DOWN IN THE 30S. JUST A FEW CIRRUS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST.

DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS IN REGARDS TO AMOUNT OF MOISTURE MOVING IN
FROM THE WEST...STRENGTH AND DEVELOPMENT OF SYSTEM IN SOUTHERN PLAINS
AND IN RESPONSE TO THAT...IS WHEN DOES LOW LEVEL FLOW VEER TO THE
NORTHEAST. I WILL TAKE A BLEND OF THE MODELS AND WILL NOT EXPECT ANY
PRECIP TIL SATURDAY/SATURDAY NITE AS SYSTEM TO WEST MOVES IN THEN.

OTHER THAN A FEW HIGH CIRRUS...TONITE WILL BE CLEAR. WITH DEWPOINTS AS
LOW AS THEY ARE WILL LEAN TOWARD FWC. SOME INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH
LEVEL MOISTURE THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE IN CANADA NOSES DOWN INTO
AREA. FWC TEMPS MAY BE A LITTLE COOL...BUT WITH MORE CLOUDS THAN
TODAY AND SLIGHT COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL NOT GO AS HIGH AS FAN TEMPS.

NGM KEEPS A COOLER NORTH-NORTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW THURSDAY NITE...ETA
VEERS IT TO MORE NORTH-NORTHEAST...WHILE AVN IS NORTHERLY. ALSO...ETA
CONTINUES TO INCREASE MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE WHICH WOULD HOLD
TEMPS UP. WILL LEAN CLOSER TO THE WARMER FAN TEMPS BECAUSE OF THIS.

LOW LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO VEER TO MORE NORTHEAST FRIDAY SO COOLER
COAST THAN INLAND. NGM PUSHES BRUNT OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS SOUTH OF CWA...
ETA KEEPS IT OVER AREA...AND AVN HAS MOST OF IT TO THE WEST. SUGGEST
VARIABLE CLOUDS AND NOT THE OVERLY OPTIMISTIC SUNNY SKIES OF THE FWC.

ONLY BUOY 41010 SHOWING GREATER THAN 15 KTS AND 7 FEET. MIGHT BE ABLE
TO DROP SCEC FROM MARINE FORECAST.

THIS IS MY FINAL AFD HERE AT JAX (DID I HEAR SOMEONE SAY THANK
GOODNESS?). THANKS TO ALL FOR THE COORDINATION OVER YEARS.

AMG 37/61 37/62 000-
SSI 40/61 40/62 000-
JAX 41/65 41/64 000-
GNV 42/67 43/67 000- 15

MOHLIN