999 
FXUS63 KAPX 021615
AFDAPN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1110 AM EST TUE MAR 02 1999

LATEST MQT...GRB AND APX 88DS SHOWING AREA OF LIGHT SNOW OVER WESTERN
AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN. THIS AREA OF
SNOWFALL IN RESPONSE TO THE LOW LEVEL WIND CONVERGENCE IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING INTO LAKE MI AND INCREASING PVA
IN ADVANCE OF A 500 MB TROF MOVING INTO WISCONSIN. THE LATEST RUC AND
12Z ETA...THROUGH THIS EVENING...CONTINUES TO SHOW FORCING FROM THE MID
LEVEL TROF TO INCREASE OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTN AND TONIGHT.
ALSO...INCREASING MSTR IN THE 850/700 MB LAYER TO 90 PCT IS PROGGED
OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN BY 00Z TONIGHT.

THEREFORE WILL ADD MENTION OF LIGHT SNOW TO EAST UPPER ZONES AND
NORTHWEST LOWER FOR THIS AFTERNOON. FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA
WILL GO WITH MOST CLOUDY AS CURRENT IR STLT LOOP AND SFC OBS SHOWING
BKN TO OVC CLOUDS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

SWR