288 
FPUS64 KMAF 230211
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
910 PM CDT SAT AUG 22 1998

KMAF RADAR INDICATES RETURNS OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU REGION
WEAKENING WITH RECENT IR IMAGERY INDICATING CLOUD TOPS SORT OF
PULSING FROM WARM TO COOL. SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW IS STILL
S OF KDRT MOVING SLOWER TO THE WNW WITH SYSTEM PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN
E OF KDRT. 21Z RUC SUPPORTS LOW W OF KDRT AROUND 09Z WITH DEEP MSTR
MOVING INTO TERRELL AND E/SE BREWSTER COUNTY. STILL BELIEVE HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS SRN AREA IS GOING TO OCCUR AS ADDITIONAL LIFT IS PROVIDED
OROGRAPHICALLY WITH LOW MOVING W...BUT IT WILL LIKELY BE LATER THAN
SOONER. 98Q QPF GUIDANCE FROM HPC SUGGEST 2 INCHES ACROSS BIG BEND
REGION THRU MONDAY MORNING. COORD WITH KLBB AND WILL DELAY ISSUANCE
OF FFA FOR NEXT SHIFT AS RAINS NOT EXPECTED TO BEGIN FOR ANOTHER
8HRS OR SO. WILL REISSUE RVS HIGHLIGHTING FLOODING POTENTIAL ALONG
THE RIO GRANDE.

GPM/MDW