149 
FPUS03 KBGM 280003
AFDBGM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
700 PM EST SAT DEC 27 1997

PRECIP AREA ALONG COAST MADE ONE LAST RUN AT AVP BUT HAS BEGUN TO
QUICKLY MOVE TO THE EAST WITH U/L SUPPORT.  COLD HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINNING TO BUILD SOUTHWARD FROM ONTARIO WITH NORTHERLY FLOW OVER LAKE
ONTARIO SETTING OFF A FEW FLURRIES.  

NGM/ETA MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MOISTURE WILL REMAIN TRAPPED BENEATH
LOW LEVEL INVERSION OVERNIGHT.  ALTHOUGH NGM IS MUCH DRIER...I STILL 
BELIEVE FA WILL REMAIN BKN/SCT THROUGH MIDDAY TOMORROW.  WILL LEAVE IT
TO MID SHIFT TO DECIDE WHETHER OR NOT BACKING OFF TO PARTLY SUNNY MIGHT
BE MORE APPROPRIATE.

SAT DEPICTS SCT CLOUD COVER OVER PORTIONS OF W NY.  HOWEVER MORE CLOUDS
CONTINUE TO STREAM OFF LAKES.  MOSTLY CLOUDY LOOKS GOOD FOR C SO TIER.


WOULD LIKE TO BACK OFF ON SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND GO WITH
OCCASSIONAL FLURRIES.  MUCH OF THE RADAR RETURN IS NOT VERIFYING AS
-SHSN AT OB SITES AND TENDENCY FOR DOWNWARD MOTION OVERNIGHT WILL
FURTHER DIMINISH PCP.

DOES NOT APPEAR FURTHER CHANGES TO ZONES WILL BE NEEDED.  

ZONES BY 730.

PADAVONA