705 
FPUS03 KMCI 170819
AFDMCI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PLEASANT HILL/KANSAS CITY MO
318 AM CDT THU JUL 17 1997

VORT MAX CONTINUES TO SIT AND SPIN ACRS THE SERN KS/NRN OK BORDER 
THIS AM. PREFER AVN SOLN ON SWD MOVEMENT OF THIS MAINLY MID-LVL 
FEATURE THROUGH 24 HRS. WK VORT LOBE THAT EXTNDS EWD INTO CNTRL MO 
WILL PHASE IN WITH NRN PLAIN TROF AND SET A WEAK SHEAR ZONE ACRS 
NERN MO THIS AFTN AND EVE. HIGH THETA-E AIR IS IN PLACE ACRS ERN KS 
AND IA THROUGH PERIOD WITH BETTER INSTABILITY ALL AROUND CWA. IN 
COORD WITH STL...WL INTRODUCE POPS INTO XTRM NERN PART OF CWA FOR 
THIS AFTERNOON...AS TSRA OUTFLOWS...COMBINED WITH THE WK UPPER 
LEVEL SHEAR AXIS AND MARGINAL MSTR WILL WARRANT AT LEAST A 30 PCT 
POP. ANY TSRA DEVELOPMENT MAY EXTEND INTO THE EARLY EVENING...BUT 
WOULD BE BELOW LOCAL ZONE GUIDELINES AND COULD BE HANDLED IN THE 
SHORT TERM FORECASTS.

OTHERWISE...WILL KEEP REST OF CWA DRY THROUGH FRIDAY. FAN/FWC TEMPS 
CLOSER...WITH FAN GUIDANCE ACTUALLY WARMER WITH MIN TEMPS.

TOP...THANKS FOR COORD CALL THIS AM.

.EAX...NONE.

SMITH