907 
WTPZ45 KNHC 020404
TCDEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
9 PM PDT TUE JUL 01 1997
 
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE SOUTH OF BAJA HAS CUT OFF THE
NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR OVER TD FIVE-E.  DEEP CONVECTION HAS AGAIN
DEVELOPED CLOSE TO THE CENTER...AND ADVISORIES ARE BEING CONTINUED
AT THIS TIME.  ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
...ONLY A LITTLE INCREASE IN WIND SPEED AND THE CYCLONE COULD REACH
TROPICAL STORM STATUS.

INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/09.  THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD IN AGREEMENT WITH THE
LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING.

MAYFIELD

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     02/0400Z 15.1N 118.0W    30 KTS
12HR VT     02/1200Z 15.3N 119.0W    30 KTS
24HR VT     03/0000Z 15.5N 120.7W    30 KTS
36HR VT     03/1200Z 15.7N 122.2W    30 KTS
48HR VT     04/0000Z 16.0N 124.0W    30 KTS
72HR VT     05/0000Z 16.5N 128.0W    30 KTS