031 
FPUS03 KBGM 051403
AFDBGM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
943 AM EDT MON MAY 5 1997

SFC RDG WELL S OF FCST AREA WL REMAIN IN CONTROL THIS AFTN. INC SW FLOW
AND DEV WAA/ISENTROPIC LIFT SHUD BRING SOME HIGH CLDS TO THE RGN LT IN
THE DAY. W/ SAT IMG TRENDS WL INCLUDE FOR ONLY WRN HALF OF ZONES. 12Z
SNDGS SHOW FCST MAX ABT ON TRACK. ABT 4 DEG OF WRMING IN THE LL TO
MODIFY THE SNDG AND WL INCREASE THE RANGE TO THE W.

ETA STILL SHOWS TWO SEPERATE SHRT WV PUSHING THRU TMRW. N BRANCH W/
WEAKENS AS SWINGS THRU AND BEST ISENTROPIC LIFT SHIFTS N OF THE STATE
TNT. 2ND JET AT BASE OF TROF STILL APPEARS TO SLOW CD FNT DOWN TUE
AFTN. THIS IS ALSO CLEAR IN THE Q-VECTOR FIELDS W/ LIFT HOLDING BACK
BEHND FNT. WL WAIT FOR NEW DATA BUT WL LKLY NEED TO EXTEND PCPN INTO
THE AFTN FOR ERN AREAS.

ZONES GONE.

.BGM...NONE.

PB