025 
FPUS03 KMHX 180803
AFDMHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
302 AM EST TUE FEB 18 1997

ZFP: MAIN FCST PROB (ALBEIT NOT MUCH OF ONE) IS CONCERN OVR A SNEAK
ATTACK OF STRATO-CU ARND BACKSIDE OF HIGH PRES WHEN IT GETS OFFSHR.
FOR TDA...MHX CWA LUKS SAFE LWR CLDS AS ETA SHOWS HIER 850 RH ADVCTNG
THRU S CAROLINA TWD WRN NC IN WK UPSLP FLO. STLT ALREADY SHOWING A FEW
CLDS HUGGING THE CST FM CHS SWD. HIGH TEMPS TDA ALG CNTRL CST NEED
TO MENTION BCHS AS ONSHR FLO LIKELY TO KEEPS TEMPS IN THE MID 50S W/
WTR TEMP ARND 50. LUKS LIKE A RESULTANT SEA BRZ SETUP FOR WED & XPCT
TEMPS QUITE A BIT COOLER THAN INLND AREAS AS BRZ RUNS PARALLEL TO
S/CNTRL CSTL ZNS. OTHER THAN THAT...MAYBE A FEW CI TDA & SOME CU WED
AFTN AS TEMPS AWAY FM THE BCHS APPROACH RECORD HIGHS.

CWF: LUKS LIKE WE MAY BE ABLE TO END SPLT ON THIS PCKG. MAINLY ONSHR
FLO TDA 15 KT GRADUALLY BECMG S LATER TDA & SW TNGT...MAY START OFF
W/ VRBL AS ADAP SHOWING A DOUBLE RIDGE AXIS CONFIGURATION ACRS THE CST.
MDLS SHOW SFC PRES GRAD PICKING UP A BIT WED AFTN AS CD FNT APPROACHES
THE MID ATLC REGION. XPCT CHILLY WTRS ALG THE CST TO INHIBIT AFTN MIXING
...SO WL CONT ONGOING TRNDS.

.MHX...NONE.

RVT