000 TTAA00 KHAT 070128 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 825 PM EST THU FEB 6 1997 RDU: AGREE WITH ILM TO RAISE TEMPS AND GO WITH A RANGE OF 35-40. CWF: WEAK SFC HIGH CENTER NOTED AT DUCK WITH VERY LGT WINDS. EXPECT WINDS OF 15 KTS OR LESS OVERNIGHT WITH 3 FT SEAS. PERSISTENT NE FETCH COULD BUILD SEAS TO 4 FT LATER FRI. DISC: SAT LOOP AND SFC OBS INDICATE LOTS OF THICK CI OVR THE AREA WITH PLENTY MORE UPSTREAM. THINK INC CLOUDS FCST NEEDS TO BE CHANGED TO FAIR OR M CLOUDY. CLOUDS THICK ENUF TO RETARD RAD COOLING SO RAISING TEMPS A GOOD BET FRI/SAT FCST INTERESTING AS WEAKENENSS OFF THE NC COAST SHOULD GENERATE LGT PCPN ACROSS OUR CWA. AVN/ETA ARE STRONGEST WITH SYSTEM BUT HAVE BEEN OVERDONE OF LATE. EVEN STRONGEST ETA KEEPS BULK OF VVEL OFFSHORE SO LIKE IDEA OF MINIMAL POPS FOR FRI AS BULK OF PCPN WILL DEVELOP AFTER SUNSET WHEN STRONGER VORT PASSES BY TO THE N. .MHX...NONE. JME ^