645 
FPUS03 KMLB 251454
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
950 AM EST MON NOV 25 1996

RADAR/SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW -SHRA PARALLELING EAST COAST AND WILL
LIKELY BE CONFINED TO BREVARD COUNTY...SINCE STEERING FLOW VEERS AS
ONE GOES FARTHER NORTH...AND COASTLINE EXTENDS NNW. SHOWER THREAT
MINIMAL TODAY AS PWATS LOW (0.9 TO 1.1)...THOUGH WILL RISE LATER
TODAY WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW...SO ISOLATED SHRA POSSIBLE. SATELLITE
INDICATES INCREASING SUNSHINE THROUGH LATE MORNING. PARTLY SUNNY WITH
NICE TEMPS (80 COASTAL TO LOWER 80S INLAND AND SOUTH) THIS AFTERNOON.

FRONT CHUGGING TOWARDS EASTERN GOMEX AND LOOKING PRETTY WIMPY. NLDN
ACTIVITY SPORADIC AT BEST. MAY BE ISOLATED THUNDER NEAR DAWN WITH
PASSAGE OF PREFRONTAL TROF...BUT ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE...GIVEN LACK OF
INSTABLITY/UPPER FORCING. ETA HAS COME UP AGAIN WITH MOISTURE RETURN
AHEAD OF FRONT. MAY BE A LITTLE OVERDONE BUT FAN POPS SEEM TO SUPPORT
THIS SCENARIO. CURRENT ZFP IN LINE WITH THIS THINKING ALSO. MARCO...
A/K/A THE STORM THAT WOULDNT DIE...LOOKS AS THOUGH FRONT WILL PICK
UP SYSTEMS REMNANTS NEAR WESTERN CUBA. MAY ADD A LITTLE MOISTURE TO
SOUTH FLORIDA/KEYS...BUT THATS ABOUT IT.  CONSULT NHC ADVISORIES FOR
DISCUSSION OF SYSTEM. ZFP/CWF LOOKS FINE.


CRISTALDI