000 
TTAA00 KHAT 130146
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT NC
945 PM EDT WED JUN 12 1996

ZFP: 30 PCNT POPS MOST ZNS...MAYBE A LTL HIER ON CST AHD OF DYING AREA
OF CNVTN. LOW TEMPS IN LOW 70S SW WIND 10 MPH.

CWF: FLO A BIT FRISKIER ON N CST THAN S CST THIS EVENING. S WNDS ON MHX
VWP ABT 25 KT @ 1KFT SO WILL INDICATED 20 KT AS A MAIN SPD OVRNGHT W/
15-20 KT ON THE SNDS.

DISC: MHX 88D SHOWING SHRT LNS OF CNVTN LOSING THEIR PUNCH SINCE DUSK
ARRIVED. ANOTHER FACTOR WAS THE LOW LVL STABILITY IN THE AIR MASS E OF
THE RESULTANT BNDRY. NO SMC PRESENT IN ERN NC PER ADAP & DESPITE HIEST
CAPES OVR THE CNTRL CST...WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT & SEE IF THE WTR CAN FIRE
UP AFT 06Z. TRAJ MORE SW...SO EXPECT ATLC CNVTN TO MSTLY REMAIN OFFSHR.
PC-THETAE SHOWS LESS IMPRESSIVE RIDGING THAN LAST NGT. ONLY CONCERN IS
OUTFLO BNDRYS NR THE CST W/ SOME WND SPD CONVG MAY CONT THREAT OF CNVTN
ALG THE CNTRL CST THRU THE DAWN HRS. TIMING OF SHRT WVS TO OUR W ALSO
IN QUFESTION...SO...WE ARE STILL NOT IN THE REGIME FOR THE TYPICAL "AFTN
& EVENING" QUALIFIER IN THE ERN NC ZNS.
.MHX...NONE.

RVT