000 TTAA00 KILM 040607 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 207 AM EDT THU MAY 4 1995 RAH: WULD LIKE SKY COND TODAY AS M/C INSTEAD OF P/C. SAT PIX SHOWS PLENTY OF MID LVL CLOUDS HEADING TOWARD AREA WITH ONLY SHORT BREAK BEFORE CLOUDS FROM PLAINS SYSTEM WL MVE IN. FOR TONIGHT OVC WITH 20% CHC OF RW AND TEMPS IN UPP 50S. BLV FWC POPS TO BE TOO HI AS SYSTEM WL PASS TO OUR NORTH. CAE: WULD LIKE POPS DROPPED FOR TODAY. PLAINS SYSTEM WL NOT BE CLOSE ENUF TO HVE CHC RW UNTIL TONIGHT. FOR TON WULD LIKE POPS CUT TO 20% AS BEST MOISTURE AND SFC LOW TO PASS TO THE NORTH. ALSO VRY LTL DYNAMICS. BLV FWC MIN AT MYR TO HI AND MID 50S MORE IN LINE. PLAINS SYSTEM TO EJECT OUT TODAY AND PASS TO THE NORTH OF AREA TONIGHT. AS S/WV COMES OUT IT BECOMES CHANELLED AND WL DO VRY LTL FOR OUR AREA. WK SFC LOW AND BEST MOISTURE TO ALSO PASS TO OUR NORTH. FEEL WE WL BE VRY LUCKY TO SEE WIDELY SCT RW AT BEST. CLDS FROM THIS SYSTEM WL START TO MVE IN TODAY ALONG WITH WK WAA. TEMPS AS IN CURRENT FCST ARE GENERALLY OK BUT MAY BE A SHADE COOL. WITHOUT THE DEEP MOISTURE FEEL TEMPS ALONG THE COAST WL DROP BLW FWC GUIDANCE AND BE CLOSER TO FAN NUMBERS. TEMP FCSTS: ILM 74/57 FLO 77/55 MY8R 73/56 IRELAND