National Weather Service Raw Text Product

Displaying AFOS PIL: HWOLZK Received: 2011-04-21 10:00 UTC


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FLUS44 KLZK 211000
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT THU APR 21 2011

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT THU APR 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN 
ARKANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING...JUST TO THE NORTH OF A STALLED OUT 
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAIN ON ALREADY 
SATURATED GROUND AND FLASH FLOODING. AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL PUSH 
THE RAIN OUT OF THE AREA BY MID MORNING. 

THE STALLED FRONT IN LOUISIANA WILL MOVE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON AND 
SHIFT THE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FURTHER NORTH. THE 
NORTH HALF OF THE STATE WILL HAVE THE GREATEST CHANCES OF 
PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WEST ARKANSAS WILL HAVE A 
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER AS WELL...WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING 
LARGE HAIL. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT...MAINLY IN 
THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.

FINALLY...ON TUESDAY MODELS ARE INDICATING A SETUP THAT COULD BRING 
A SIGNIFICANT AND WIDESPREAD ROUND OF STRONG AND SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE STATE. THIS SCENARIO BEARS MONITORING OVER THE 
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

WITH SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE STATE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...THE THREAT FOR
FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING WILL INCREASE OVER TIME. THE
AREAS OF GREATEST THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS WILL
BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE STATE WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY 
LINGERING IN THE VICINITY OF THE OZARKS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. 

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS. 

$$

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