National Weather Service Raw Text Product

Displaying AFOS PIL: FWSDMX Received: 2018-05-17 13:48 UTC


074 
FNUS73 KDMX 171348
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for East Swan N52 West...IDNR
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
848 AM CDT Thu May 17 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 17. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

With RH values topping out in the 80 to 90 percent range, 
recoveries for this morning and tonight will be fair to good. Min
RH values near 30 percent each day... but winds should be under 10
kts today, and under 15 kts tomorrow. Next precipitation chances
are late Saturday through Monday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). 
Temperature.........67 at ignition...Max 85. 
RH..................73 percent at ignition...Min 32 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise 
                    South winds 5 to 12 mph. 
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2100-3000 
                    ft AGL increasing to 8900-9700 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 14 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth at ignition...max 5. 

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........6   8   12  16  20  22  24  26  21  
Weather cov.....                                    
Weather type....                                    
Tstm cov........                                    
Temp............67  74  77  79  80  81  82  84  85  
RH..............73  59  52  45  41  38  35  32  30  
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   
20 FT wind spd..5   7   8   9   12  12  12  12  12  
20 FT wind gust.            10  14  14  14  14      
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.0 5.2 7.4 9.7 9.6 9.4 9.3 8.9 
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   10  12  12  13  13  14  
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). 
Temperature.........Min 59. 
RH..................Max 87 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 12 mph. 
Mixing height.......8100-8500 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 16 mph. 
Haines Index........3 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential 
                    for large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
Sky (%).........17     3      1      2      4      6      
Weather cov.....                                          
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
Tstm cov........                                          
Temp............84     78     69     64     61     59     
RH..............31     40     59     73     81     87     
20 ft wind......SE 12  SE 9   SE 8   SE 9   SE 9   SE 8   
20 ft wind gust.                                          
Mix hgt (ft)....8500   5500   300    300    300    300    
Transport wind..SE 16  SE 14  SE 8   SE 8   SE 10  SE 12  
Haines index....5      5      4      4      4      3      

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). 
Temperature.........Max 82. 
RH..................Min 38 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 16 mph. 
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL increasing to 5500-7000 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....South 14 to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........2 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential 
                    for large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........6         7         12        21        
Weather cov.....                                        
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE      
Tstm cov........                                        
Temp............59        66        76        80        
RH..............87        65        48        39        
20 FT wind......SE 9      SE 12G17  SE 14G22  SE 16G23  
Mix hgt (ft)....300       1500      4300      6500      
Transport wind..SE 14     S 15      S 16      S 20      
Haines index....2         3         4         5         

$$
Forecaster...Podrazik
Requested by...Goodrich
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810213.0/DMX
.DELDT 05/17/18
.EMAIL kevin.goodrich@dnr.iowa.gov

273 
FNUS73 KDMX 171348
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Birge Lake...Iowa DNR
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
848 AM CDT Thu May 17 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 17. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

With RH values topping out in the 80 to 90 percent range, 
recoveries for this morning and tonight will be fair to good. Min
RH values near 30 percent each day... but winds should be under 10
kts today, and under 15 kts tomorrow. Next precipitation chances
are late Saturday through Monday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). 
Temperature.........68 at ignition...Max 85. 
RH..................70 percent at ignition...Min 31 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise 
                    South winds 5 to 12 mph. 
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2100-3000 
                    ft AGL increasing to 9000-9500 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 14 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth at ignition...max 5. 

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........8   10  13  16  19  22  24  27  22  
Weather cov.....                                    
Weather type....                                    
Tstm cov........                                    
Temp............68  74  77  79  80  80  82  83  85  
RH..............70  59  52  45  41  39  36  33  30  
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   
20 FT wind spd..5   7   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  
20 FT wind gust.            10  13  14  15  15      
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.0 5.0 7.0 9.0 9.2 9.3 9.5 9.0 
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  
Transp wind spd.6   8   9   10  12  12  13  13  14  
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). 
Temperature.........Min 58. 
RH..................Max 90 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 12 mph. 
Mixing height.......8200-8600 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 16 mph. 
Haines Index........3 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential 
                    for large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
Sky (%).........17     3      1      2      4      8      
Weather cov.....                                          
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
Tstm cov........                                          
Temp............83     78     69     64     61     59     
RH..............31     40     61     70     75     87     
20 ft wind......SE 12  SE 10  SE 8   SE 9   SE 9   SE 9   
20 ft wind gust.                                          
Mix hgt (ft)....8600   5500   300    300    300    300    
Transport wind..SE 16  SE 14  SE 8   SE 8   SE 10  SE 12  
Haines index....5      5      4      4      4      3      

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). 
Temperature.........Max 81. 
RH..................Min 37 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 16 mph. 
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL increasing to 5300-7000 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....South 14 to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........2 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential 
                    for large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........7         8         12        21        
Weather cov.....                                        
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE      
Tstm cov........                                        
Temp............58        66        76        80        
RH..............90        65        48        38        
20 FT wind......SE 8      SE 12G18  SE 14G22  SE 16G23  
Mix hgt (ft)....300       1500      4300      6400      
Transport wind..SE 14     S 15      S 16      S 20      
Haines index....2         3         4         5         

$$
Forecaster...Podrazik
Requested by...Jared Elbert
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810211.0/DMX
.DELDT 05/17/18
.EMAIL jared.elbert@dnr.iowa.gov