National Weather Service Raw Text Product

Displaying AFOS PIL: FWSDMX Received: 2018-05-17 11:45 UTC


957 
FNUS73 KDMX 171145
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Beaver dam...Usfws
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
645 AM CDT Thu May 17 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on May 17. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Light and variable wind this morning will become south to
southeast today. Minimum relative humidity values will be near 30
percent this afternoon. Otherwise not significant weather is
expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). 
Max temperature.....Around 85. 
Min humidity........33 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph late 
                    in the morning. 
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL increasing to 8400-9100 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 10 mph increasing to around 13 
                    mph late in the afternoon. 
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth or moderate potential for 
                    large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........18  13  10  8   5   15  26  36  33  31  28  
Weather cov.....                                            
Weather type....                                            
Tstm cov........                                            
Temp............60  65  70  75  78  81  83  84  85  85  85  
RH..............81  73  66  58  52  46  40  37  33  32  32  
20 FT wind dir..W   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
20 FT wind spd..1   2   3   3   5   6   7   7   8   9   9   
20 FT wind gust.    3                                       
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.4 2.6 3.8 5.4 6.9 8.5 8.7 8.9 9.1 8.4 
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
Transp wind spd.2   2   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   10  13  
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). 
Min temperature.....Around 56. 
Max humidity........90 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 12 mph. 
Mixing height.......7200-7800 ft AGL decreasing to 300-700 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 16 mph increasing to 12 to 20 
                    mph after midnight. 
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth or moderate potential for 
                    large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
Sky (%).........20     3      1      2      3      2      
Weather cov.....                                          
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
Tstm cov........                                          
Temp............83     77     69     65     61     59     
RH..............34     42     61     68     78     87     
20 ft wind......SE 10  SE 9   SE 8   E 10   E 10   E 8    
20 ft wind gust.                                          
Mix hgt (ft)....7800   4900   300    500    600    700    
Transport wind..SE 15  SE 14  E 9    SE 16  SE 17  SE 12  
Haines index....5      5      5      4      3      2      

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). 
Max temperature.....Around 82. 
Min humidity........42 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 16 mph. 
Mixing height.......600-2100 ft AGL increasing to 6300-7100 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 23 mph. 
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth or low potential for 
                    large plume dominated fire growth. 

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM      
Sky (%).........2         4         10        15        
Weather cov.....                                        
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE      
Tstm cov........                                        
Temp............56        65        77        81        
RH..............90        70        48        42        
20 FT wind......E 9       SE 10G14  SE 13G17  SE 16G23  
Mix hgt (ft)....700       1600      4900      6800      
Transport wind..SE 14     SE 14     SE 16     SE 22     
Haines index....3         4         4         4         

$$
Forecaster...Donavon
Requested by...Chad Loreth
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810189.0/DMX
.EMAIL Chad_loreth@fws.gov