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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDDMX Received: 2018-05-16 23:35 UTC
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609 FXUS63 KDMX 162335 AFDDMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Des Moines IA 635 PM CDT Wed May 16 2018 .DISCUSSION.../Tonight through Wednesday/ Issued at 306 PM CDT Wed May 16 2018 Mainly quiet weather to persist through the end of the work week. Biggest issue will be a few pop-up weak showers/thunderstorms this afternoon in the far south along the MO border with that activity expected to push south of the area into early evening. Other issue would be into Friday night as may have an area of showers and thunderstorms move through the state into early Saturday associated with a stronger system expected to impact the state this weekend. Otherwise above average temperatures and mainly clear skies expected for Thursday into Friday with an area of high pressure dominating the region. Iowa then becomes sandwiched between the two jets and two troughs into the weekend. GFS and EC differ a bit in the strength of the northern trough skirting the northern US and pushing through Manitoba/Ontario Saturday. This system will slide an associated frontal boundary near the state Saturday with the GFS more progressive with the trough and the front kind of washing out before it gets to Iowa. The EC remains a bit strong and pushes the front into northern Iowa by late Saturday. Both the EC/GFS have a broad southern stream trough in place across the west/central US with a piece of energy lifting into the region by late Saturday into Sunday. The EC brings this energy through the state with some interaction with the northern stream frontal boundary with precipitation chances Saturday into early Sunday and then shoves the front south and high pressure to build in for early next week. With the more progressive GFS the front moves through and this system deepens as it lifts northeastward bringing the system through Iowa Sunday and greater chances for precipitation Sunday into Sunday night. Did linger some pops across the state into Sunday to account for the GFS, but trends over the past few days lean toward the EC solution. Either way the weekend looks to be a bit cooler and wetter with more of an active period expected into the middle of next week with a large cutoff trough over the west and pieces of energy set to eject eastward through the central US. Precipitation trends will impact temps next week, but currently have temps Monday through Wednesday warming back into the low 80s by mid week. && .AVIATION.../For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening/ Issued at 635 PM CDT Wed May 16 2018 Widespread VFR conditions are forecast for this period with unrestricted visibilities and few to scattered clouds. Winds will be light tonight and increase slightly from the east to southeast on Thursday. && .DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION...Beerends AVIATION...Cogil
609 FXUS63 KDMX 162335 AFDDMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Des Moines IA 635 PM CDT Wed May 16 2018 .DISCUSSION.../Tonight through Wednesday/ Issued at 306 PM CDT Wed May 16 2018 Mainly quiet weather to persist through the end of the work week. Biggest issue will be a few pop-up weak showers/thunderstorms this afternoon in the far south along the MO border with that activity expected to push south of the area into early evening. Other issue would be into Friday night as may have an area of showers and thunderstorms move through the state into early Saturday associated with a stronger system expected to impact the state this weekend. Otherwise above average temperatures and mainly clear skies expected for Thursday into Friday with an area of high pressure dominating the region. Iowa then becomes sandwiched between the two jets and two troughs into the weekend. GFS and EC differ a bit in the strength of the northern trough skirting the northern US and pushing through Manitoba/Ontario Saturday. This system will slide an associated frontal boundary near the state Saturday with the GFS more progressive with the trough and the front kind of washing out before it gets to Iowa. The EC remains a bit strong and pushes the front into northern Iowa by late Saturday. Both the EC/GFS have a broad southern stream trough in place across the west/central US with a piece of energy lifting into the region by late Saturday into Sunday. The EC brings this energy through the state with some interaction with the northern stream frontal boundary with precipitation chances Saturday into early Sunday and then shoves the front south and high pressure to build in for early next week. With the more progressive GFS the front moves through and this system deepens as it lifts northeastward bringing the system through Iowa Sunday and greater chances for precipitation Sunday into Sunday night. Did linger some pops across the state into Sunday to account for the GFS, but trends over the past few days lean toward the EC solution. Either way the weekend looks to be a bit cooler and wetter with more of an active period expected into the middle of next week with a large cutoff trough over the west and pieces of energy set to eject eastward through the central US. Precipitation trends will impact temps next week, but currently have temps Monday through Wednesday warming back into the low 80s by mid week. && .AVIATION.../For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening/ Issued at 635 PM CDT Wed May 16 2018 Widespread VFR conditions are forecast for this period with unrestricted visibilities and few to scattered clouds. Winds will be light tonight and increase slightly from the east to southeast on Thursday. && .DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION...Beerends AVIATION...Cogil