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Displaying AFOS PIL: FWSDMX Received: 2018-05-17 13:47 UTC
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FNUS73 KDMX 171347
FWSDMX
Spot Forecast for Struecker...Iowa DNR
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
847 AM CDT Thu May 17 2018
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.
Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.
.DISCUSSION...
With RH values topping out in the 80 to 90 percent range,
recoveries for this morning and tonight will be fair to good. Min
RH values near 30 percent each day... but winds should be under 10
kts today, and under 15 kts tomorrow. Next precipitation chances
are late Saturday through Monday morning.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........68 at ignition...Max 85.
RH..................70 percent at ignition...Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
Southeast winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2100-3000
ft AGL increasing to 8700-9300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth at ignition...max 5.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4 5 10 15 20 22 24 26 21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............68 74 77 79 80 81 82 84 85
RH..............70 62 54 49 44 39 36 34 31
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S SE
20 FT wind spd..5 7 8 9 10 10 10 12 12
20 FT wind gust. 10 13 13 13 14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.0 5.1 7.2 9.3 9.2 9.1 9.0 8.7
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.6 7 8 9 10 10 12 12 13
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Temperature.........Min 59.
RH..................Max 90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......8100-8400 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
for large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........17 3 1 2 3 5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............83 78 69 65 62 59
RH..............33 39 61 68 72 87
20 ft wind......SE 12 SE 10 SE 8 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....8400 5500 300 300 300 300
Transport wind..SE 15 SE 14 SE 9 SE 10 SE 13 SE 16
Haines index....5 5 5 4 4 3
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........Max 82.
RH..................Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1500 ft AGL increasing to 5600-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
for large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........5 6 10 18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............59 66 75 80
RH..............87 68 50 41
20 FT wind......SE 9 SE 12G17 SE 14G22 SE 16G23
Mix hgt (ft)....300 1100 4200 6500
Transport wind..SE 16 S 15 S 15 S 20
Haines index....2 3 4 5
$$
Forecaster...Podrazik
Requested by...Jared Elbert
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810208.0/DMX
.DELDT 05/17/18
.EMAIL jared.elbert@dnr.iowa.gov