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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDEWX Received: 2015-08-05 12:04 UTC
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869 FXUS64 KEWX 051204 AFDEWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 704 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2015 .AVIATION.../12Z TAFS/ PATCHY MVFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE I-35 TAF SITES THROUGH 14Z AS THEY BOUNCE BETWEEN SCT AND BKN COVERAGE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...THE HRRR SUGGESTS THESE LOW CLOUDS WILL LIFT TO VFR WITHIN THE HOUR...SO WILL AMEND TAFS AS NECESSARY IF THIS OCCURS. SOUTHERLY 10-15 KT WINDS WITH BRIEF GUSTS TO 20 KTS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. BRIEF PATCHY MVFR CIGS SHOULD DEVELOP AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING AT ONE OR TWO OF THE I-35 SITES. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 319 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2015/ SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)... UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BEGIN ITS EASTWARD TREK BACK TO THE SOUTH CENTRAL CONUS TODAY RESULTING IN BUILDING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE REGION. MORNING LOW CLOUDS DUE TO SLIGHTLY BETTER MOISTURE ADVECTION THIS MORNING WILL QUICKLY BURN OFF AS MIXING WILL EFFICIENTLY TAKE PLACE AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARM. EXPECTING HIGHS TO AVERAGE ABOUT A DEGREE OR SO HIGHER TODAY THAN YESTERDAY ACROSS THE CWA. HEAT INDICES WILL RANGE FROM 102 IN THE HILL COUNTRY TO 111 IN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)... THE UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST AND GET COMFY OVER TEXAS FOR THE WEEKEND. 1000-500MB THICKNESSES LOOK TO INCREASE ABOUT 7-8 DAM FROM TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY RESULTING IN SATURDAY HIGHS IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS EVERYWHERE BUT IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE PLATEAU. THIS SET UP WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY BEFORE SOME HINTS AT A FRONTAL SYSTEM ARE SEEN IN THE GFS/ECMWF. HOWEVER...RATHER THAN COOL THE AREA...THE FRONTAL SYSTEM MAY SERVE TO ONLY PROVIDE ADDITIONAL COMPRESSIONAL WARMING AND RAISE MAX TEMPS TO AT OR JUST ABOVE RECORD HIGHS FOR NEXT WEDNESDAY. BASED OFF THE CURRENT FORECAST...HEAT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR AREAS IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...ESPECIALLY THE EASTERN ZONES AND COASTAL PLAINS POSSIBLY BEGINNING AS EARLY AS FRIDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 101 76 100 77 101 / 0 0 0 0 0 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 99 74 99 74 101 / 0 0 0 0 0 NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 101 75 100 75 101 / 0 0 0 0 0 BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 100 75 100 76 101 / 0 0 0 0 0 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 102 77 102 78 103 / 0 0 0 0 0 GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 100 76 100 77 101 / 0 0 0 0 0 HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 99 74 99 75 100 / 0 0 0 0 0 SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 100 76 99 75 100 / 0 0 0 0 0 LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 100 77 99 77 101 / - 0 0 0 0 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 100 77 99 77 100 / 0 0 0 0 0 STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 100 77 100 76 101 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ MESOSCALE/AVIATION...LH SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...TB3