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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDEWX Received: 2015-08-02 05:38 UTC
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471 FXUS64 KEWX 020538 AFDEWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1238 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015 .AVIATION... /06Z TAF UPDATE/ VFR SKIES AND WINDS BELOW 12KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIODS. DRY LOW LEVEL AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM EAST TX TO THE I-35 CORRIDOR WHILE SOME POCKETS OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE SOME SCATTERED 10000 FT CLOUDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 855 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/ UPDATE... DID A QUICK UPDATE TO MAINLY FRESHEN UP THE CURRENT GRIDS AND TO REMOVE ALL MENTION OF PRECIP OUT WEST AS EARLIER CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. QUIET WX EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/ SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)... DAYTIME HEATING WORKING ON DEEPER MOISTURE WITH PWS OF 1.6 TO 1.8 INCHES HAS ALLOWED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU THIS AFTERNOON. THIS DEEPER MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY ERODE THIS EVENING AS A DRIER AIRMASS WITH BELOW NORMAL PWS OF 1.2 TO 1.6 INCHES CONTINUES TO FILTER IN FROM THE EAST. EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DISSIPATE A LITTLE AFTER SUNSET WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND THE DRIER AIRMASS. FOR SUNDAY...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. STRONG SUBSIDENCE UNDERNEATH THE RIDGE AND BELOW NORMAL MOISTURE LEVELS WILL NOT ALLOW FOR RAIN. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH SOME HIGHS AROUND 100. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE NEAR OR JUST ABOVE ACTUAL TEMPERATURES AS DRIER AIR ALOFT MIXES TO THE SURFACE DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)... THE SUNDAY PATTERN CONTINUES NEXT WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. LOWER LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO STRENGTHENS BY MID WEEK INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS ALLOWING FOR HEAT INDEX VALUES ABOVE 105 DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS SOUTHEAST OF I-35 AND IN SPOTS ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. THE ONLY POTENTIAL FOR ANY RAIN MAY BE FROM AN OLD SURFACE BOUNDARY CURRENTLY IN THE GULF OF MEXICO THAT MOVES ONSHORE TO GENERATE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOST MODELS DISSIPATE THIS BOUNDARY OVER THE GULF WITH NO IMPACTS TO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 101 75 100 76 100 / 0 0 0 0 0 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 100 73 99 73 98 / 0 0 0 0 0 NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 100 73 100 74 99 / 0 0 0 0 0 BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 99 73 99 75 97 / 0 0 0 0 0 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 101 77 101 79 100 / 0 0 0 0 0 GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 98 74 100 75 98 / 0 0 0 0 0 HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 99 73 99 73 99 / 0 0 0 0 0 SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 100 73 99 75 98 / 0 0 0 0 0 LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 100 73 99 76 98 / 0 0 - 0 - SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 99 75 99 76 99 / 0 0 0 0 0 STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 100 74 100 76 99 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ MESOSCALE/AVIATION...OAKS SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...HAMPSHIRE