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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDEWX Received: 2015-07-05 11:48 UTC
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924 FXUS64 KEWX 051148 AFDEWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 648 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015 .AVIATION... MVFR CIGS HAVE DEVELOPED IN AUSTIN AND SAN ANTONIO WHILE DRT ONLY HAS HIGHER CLOUDS. AT THIS POINT I THINK CIGS WILL NOT GET ANY LOWER THIS MORNING. CIGS WE HAVE SHOULD REMAIN THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING AROUND NOON. WINDS WILL PICK UP TO AROUND 15 KTS THIS AFTERNOON. LOW CIGS WILL RETURN AGAIN TONIGHT IN AUSTIN AND SAN ANTONIO EVENTUALLY DROPPING TO IFR. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 357 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015/ SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)... AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM MEXICO INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A SURFACE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE ATLANTIC ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE EASTERN RIDGE IS A LITTLE STRONGER AND MOISTURE IS A LITTLE LESS WITH PWS OF 1.4 TO 1.7 INCHES. ONLY A FEW SHOWERS AND MAYBE A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS WITH THE SEABREEZE THIS AFTERNOON. A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING EAST ACROSS THE ROCKIES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ERODES THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BACK INTO MEXICO ON MONDAY WHILE THE EASTERN RIDGE BUILDS A LITTLE MORE INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THE TROUGH BRINGS SLIGHTLY INCREASED MOISTURE WITH PWS NEAR 1.8 INCHES ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND LOWER PECOS VALLEY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN THAT AREA MAINLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)... THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LINGERS OVER WESTERN TEXAS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. UPWARD FORCING BY THE TROUGH ON DEEPER MOISTURE WITH PWS NEAR 1.8 INCHES WILL GENERATE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TO PORTIONS OF THE RIO GRANDE. OVER THE REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...SUBSIDENCE AND CAPPING WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND PWS FALLING TO NEAR 1.5 INCHES KEEP POPS OUT OF THE FORECAST. THE TROUGH LIFTS NORTH WEDNESDAY WITH THE EASTERN RIDGE BUILDING WEST OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. PWS DROP TO NEAR 1.5 INCHES ENDING THE POPS OUT WEST AS WELL. THE RIDGE STRENGTHENS OVER TEXAS WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE...CAPPING WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND DRIER AIRMASS WITH PWS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND BRINGING NO RAIN. A VERY SLOW WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED AS LOWER LEVEL THICKNESSES AND BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES INCREASE WHILE SOIL MOISTURE ONLY VERY SLOWLY DECREASES. HOWEVER...NO 100 DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 92 76 92 76 93 / 10 - - - - AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 91 74 92 75 92 / 10 - - - - NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 90 75 93 75 93 / 10 - - - - BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 91 74 91 74 90 / 10 - - - - DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 93 76 94 77 94 / 10 - - 10 20 GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 92 76 93 76 91 / 10 - - - - HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 91 74 92 75 92 / 10 - - - - SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 90 75 92 75 91 / 10 - - - - LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 91 76 92 77 92 / 10 - - - 10 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 92 77 92 76 92 / 10 - - - - STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 92 76 92 76 92 / 10 - - - - && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ MESOSCALE/AVIATION...05 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04