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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDEWX Received: 2015-03-02 23:32 UTC
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699 FXUS64 KEWX 022332 AFDEWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 532 PM CST MON MAR 2 2015 .AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 00Z TAF PACKAGE... POOR AVIATION CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD. SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS TAFS...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO A SATURATED LOW LEVEL ATMOSPHERE. SURFACE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND VIS WILL LOWER AS A RESULT...AS WILL CIGS. THUS INCLUDED LIFR FOG AND CIGS TO KAUS/KSAT/KSSF OVERNIGHT. TB3 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 PM CST MON MAR 2 2015/ SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)... CLOUDY SKIES...NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOL TEMPERATURES ARE STILL INTACT ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AS OF LATE THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES AS OF 02/20Z WERE GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S ACROSS THE REGION. FOR TONIGHT...CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN THICK AS LOW-LEVEL WINDS GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. WITH AN INCREASED MOIST...SOUTHERLY FLOW IN THE LOW-LEVELS...WE/LL MAINTAIN A 20-30% CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS MOST AREAS TONIGHT. FINALLY...AREAS OF FOG CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED AS COOL AND MOIST AIR ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS DOMINATE THE BOUNDARY LAYER. FOG CONTINUES INTO TUESDAY MORNING ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TOMORROW GIVEN THE INCREASE IN SOUTHERLY FLOW. MOST OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE APPEARS TOO WARM AS WE EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES TOMORROW. WE/LL TREND TOWARD THE LOWER SIDE OF GUIDANCE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 60S ON TUESDAY. THE WEATHER PATTERN BEGINS TO TURN A LITTLE MORE INTERESTING TUESDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. WE/LL MENTION A 20-30% CHANCE FOR RAIN ALONG WITH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE MAINLY NORTH OF U.S. HIGHWAY 90. LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)... THE ABOVE MENTIONED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO APPROACH ON WEDNESDAY. A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST DURING THE MORNING HOURS...QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH. THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHARPLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH GUSTY NORTH WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. CONCERNS FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL BE ON THE INCREASE DURING THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FAVOR A FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MIX GIVEN THE SHALLOW...COLD AIR IN THE LOW-LEVELS ALONG WITH A PRONOUNCED WARM LAYER JUST ABOVE THE LOW-LEVEL COLD AIR. DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON THURSDAY...THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION THREAT WILL DROP SOUTHWARD TO JUST NORTH OF A DEL RIO...SAN ANTONIO...LA GRANGE LINE. AGAIN...MOST AREAS CAN EXPECT A FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MIX...WITH SOME SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU...HILL COUNTRY AND I-35 CORRIDOR NORTH OF SAN ANTONIO. BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING WITH THE PRECIPITATION TYPE TRANSITIONING BACK TO ALL LIQUID. COOL TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN THE FORECAST ON FRIDAY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 40S. TEMPERATURES WARM SLIGHTLY ON SATURDAY BUT REMAIN BELOW NORMAL. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ALSO SUGGEST AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST ON SATURDAY. WE/LL MAINTAIN A 20-30% CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS MOST AREAS ON SATURDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION SHIFTING EAST INTO THE COASTAL PLAINS ON SUNDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 44 64 56 57 30 / 30 20 30 60 70 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 44 65 56 58 30 / 30 20 20 60 70 NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 45 65 57 59 32 / 30 20 20 40 70 BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 42 64 53 53 27 / 30 20 30 70 70 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 46 70 54 65 32 / 10 10 20 40 50 GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 43 63 55 57 28 / 30 20 30 70 70 HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 47 65 55 61 33 / 20 20 20 40 60 SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 45 65 56 59 31 / 30 20 20 50 70 LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 49 70 60 62 33 / 30 20 30 60 70 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 46 64 57 61 32 / 30 20 20 40 70 STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 47 65 57 61 33 / 30 20 20 30 70 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ MESOSCALE/AVIATION...03 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...29 PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...00