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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDEWX Received: 2014-10-21 20:30 UTC
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265 FXUS64 KEWX 212030 AFDEWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 330 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)... A SHALLOW MID LEVEL UPPER TROUGH OVER TEXAS AND NEW MEXICO WILL GRADUALLY FLATTEN AS IT MOVES EAST ACROSS TX OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS. DRY SURFACE CONDITIONS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH CENTRAL TX WILL LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ABLE TO GENERATE AS IT WEAKENS. CLUSTERS OF WEAK SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL COVER MUCH OF NORTHERN MEXICO...WITH SCATTERED LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS EXPECTED TO SPILL OVER INTO THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU TONIGHT. MODELS SHOW THE LOOSELY DEFINED TROUGH AXIS TO NOT CROSS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TX UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS SPILLING EAST FROM THIS AREA SHOULD CURB HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER WESTERN SECTIONS FOR WEDNESDAY AND LIMIT THE OVERNIGHT COOLING POTENTIAL OVER THESE AREAS AS WELL. && .LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)... MODEL CONSENSUS SHOWS THE TROUGH AXIS WILL BRING THE MOST COVERAGE OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO SOUTH CENTRAL TX EARLY THURSDAY BEFORE FORCING BECOMES TOO WEAK FOR PRECIPITATION LATE IN THE DAY. UPPER RIDGING IN THE WAKE OF THE WEAK TROUGHING FEATURE INCREASES OVER THE SWRN US BY FRIDAY...LEAVING A WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE FIELD AND MILD AND DRY WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER SHALLOW TROUGH IS PROJECTED OVER THE WRN US EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH SHOULD INCREASE SOUTHERLY WINDS SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY. THE NEXT TROUGH HAS A BETTER CHANCE TO BRING A COLD FRONT AND POSSIBLY A CHANCE OF RAIN FOR TUESDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 60 83 61 82 61 / - - - 10 10 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 55 83 56 82 55 / - - - 10 10 NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 58 85 59 85 59 / - - - 10 10 BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 58 82 59 82 58 / - 10 10 20 10 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 64 83 66 83 62 / 20 10 20 20 10 GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 58 82 58 82 58 / - - - 10 10 HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 58 85 59 85 57 / - 10 10 20 10 SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 57 84 58 83 58 / - - - 10 10 LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 59 85 59 83 57 / - - - - - SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 60 86 63 84 63 / - - 10 10 10 STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 60 87 61 86 62 / - - 10 10 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...18 PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...12