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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDEWX Received: 2014-09-20 08:22 UTC
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649 FXUS64 KEWX 200822 AFDEWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 322 AM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014 .SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)... PLENTY OF MOIST AIR STILL IN PLACE TO PRODUCE ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. WHILE THE REMNANTS OF PACIFIC STORM ODILE AND MOIST AIR FROM THE GULF AND PACIFIC STORM POLO ARE STILL IN THE VICINITY...PW HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS OUR AREA... ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN 1/3. THIS DOESN/T MEAN AN END TO THE RAIN...BUT ANOTHER STEP DOWN IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY FROM FRIDAY. MANY MORE LOCATIONS SHOULD REMAIN DRY TODAY OR RECEIVE 1/10 INCH OR LESS OF RAIN. HOWEVER...ISOLATED DOWNPOURS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE STILL POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE HILL COUNTRY...WHERE CONVECTION ALLOWING MESOSCALE MODELS POINT TOWARD A PEAK IN THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BY EARLY AFTERNOON. LOOK FOR ANOTHER STEP DOWN IN CONVECTION TOMORROW AS DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER IN FROM THE NORTHEAST. POPS ON SUNDAY SHOULD MOSTLY BE FOCUSED ON THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. && .LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)... A WEAK COLD FRONT WASHES OUT JUST NORTH OF OUR AREA ON MONDAY... BUT DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR SHOULD CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. WE DECIDED TO PLACE SMALL POPS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS IN THE NORTHEAST AND EAST COASTAL PLAINS AS THE GFS/ECMWF INDICATE ENOUGH LIFT ALONG THE REMNANT OF THE FRONT MONDAY...AND A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH NORTH TEXAS ON TUESDAY...TO PRODUCE ISOLATED STORMS. LOOK FOR DRY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES...THEN ISOLATED STORMS FOR MAINLY THE RIO GRANDE AND COASTAL PLAINS FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND AS MOIST GULF FLOW RETURNS AND THE RIDGE IS BROKEN DOWN BY A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 89 71 91 69 91 / 40 20 - - 20 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 89 69 92 68 91 / 40 20 - - 20 NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 91 71 92 69 93 / 40 30 10 - 10 BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 89 70 90 69 90 / 40 20 10 - 20 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 90 74 88 71 88 / 30 30 20 20 - GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 89 70 91 69 91 / 40 20 - - 20 HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 92 72 92 68 93 / 30 30 20 10 - SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 89 70 91 68 91 / 40 20 10 - 20 LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 91 71 92 70 92 / 40 20 - - 20 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 91 73 92 71 92 / 40 30 10 - 10 STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 92 73 92 70 93 / 30 30 10 - - && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...26