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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDEWX Received: 2014-09-03 02:42 UTC
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570 FXUS64 KEWX 030242 AAB AFDEWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 942 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014 .UPDATE... AREA RADAR DATA SHOWS CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. WE HAVE REMOVED THE MENTION OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE FORECAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS EVENING. NO OTHER CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE AT THIS TIME. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 725 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014/ UPDATE... BASED ON CURRENT RADAR TRENDS...WE HAVE SENT A QUICK UPDATE TO THE FORECAST TO EXPAND RAIN CHANCES INTO THE WESTERN HILL COUNTRY. WE STILL EXPECT A DECREASING TREND THIS EVENING...BUT CAN/T RULE OUT MAINLY ISOLATED CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. MINOR CHANGES HAVE ALSO BEEN MADE TO THE SKY COVER...WINDS AND DEW POINTS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 642 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014/ AVIATION... ISOLD TO SCT SHRA WILL DISSIPATE BY 02Z AND HAVE NO EFFECT ON THE TAF SITES. EXPECT A REPEAT TONIGHT OF THE PAST FEW NIGHTS WITH MVFR STRATUS DEVELOPING AROUND 07Z AT THE I-35 SITES AND 10Z AT KDRT. MVFR SHOULD LAST UNTIL 16Z AND THEN LIFT TO VFR CIGS. THE I-35 SITES SHOULD HAVE SCT CLOUDS AFTER 20Z...BUT ALSO A PROB30 OF TSRA FROM 20-24Z. WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHEAST AND BECOME 10G22KT AT 16Z FOR KDRT...AND AFTER 20Z AT THE I-35 SITES. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 326 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014/ SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)... TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO THIS EVENING. A SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW HAS ALLOWED A DEEPER MOIST AIRMASS WITH PWS NEAR 2 INCHES TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS. WIDELY SCATTERED AND AN OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORM HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG AND EAST OF I-35. THESE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST BEFORE DISSIPATING THIS EVENING BY A LITTLE AFTER SUNSET. AS DOLLY MOVES FURTHER INLAND AND WEAKENS...THIS DEEPER MOISTURE SPREADS FURTHER WEST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP EARLY IN THE MORNING NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS AND THEN SPREAD WEST ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY WITH DISSIPATION MOST AREAS BY SUNSET. COVERAGE WILL BE SCATTERED IN THE SOUTH AND BECOME MUCH MORE ISOLATED IN THE NORTH CLOSER TO SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE DUE TO PWS NEAR 2 INCHES. HAVE MAINTAINED LOW CHANCE POPS WEDNESDAY NIGHT MAINLY ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS DUE TO UPSLOPE FLOW ENHANCING LIFT AND CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE NIGHTTIME RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER OF THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. A SLIGHT COOLING OF HIGHS IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN PARTS OF OUR AREA ON WEDNESDAY DUE TO MORE CLOUDS AND RAIN. LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)... THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...THE REMNANT LOW OF DOLLY WILL DISSIPATE. HOWEVER...MOISTURE LEVELS ARE SLOW TO DECREASE AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BECOMES MORE DOMINANT. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS...RETREATING TO THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT. SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SETTLES OVER OUR AREA. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SEABREEZE NEAR THE COASTAL PLAINS. IN ADDITION...ON SUNDAY...A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY BRIEFLY MOVES INTO CENTRAL TEXAS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES. BY TUESDAY...THE BOUNDARY DISSIPATES AND THE RIDGE BECOMES MORE DOMINANT ENDING THE RAIN CHANCES. HIGH TEMPERATURES WARM SLIGHTLY UNDER THE RIDGE...EXCEPT A BRIEF DIP ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY DUE TO CLOUDS AND RAIN. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONABLE LEVELS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 77 98 76 98 77 / 20 20 10 10 10 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 74 97 74 97 74 / 20 20 10 10 10 NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 75 97 75 96 74 / 20 30 10 20 10 BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 75 95 74 95 74 / 20 20 10 10 10 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 78 95 75 95 76 / 10 30 20 40 20 GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 76 97 76 97 75 / 20 20 10 10 10 HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 76 96 74 96 74 / 20 30 10 30 20 SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 76 97 76 97 74 / 20 30 10 20 10 LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 76 97 76 96 76 / 20 20 10 20 10 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 78 96 77 96 77 / 20 30 10 30 10 STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 78 96 76 96 77 / 20 30 10 30 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ MESOSCALE/AVIATION...26 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...24 PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...12