National Weather Service Raw Text Product
Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDEWX Received: 2014-08-31 08:48 UTC
Previous in Time Latest Product Next in Time
View All KEWX Products for 31 Aug 2014 View All AFD Products for 31 Aug 2014 View As Image Download As Text
433 FXUS64 KEWX 310848 AFDEWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 348 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014 .SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)... AN UPPER LEVEL SHEAR AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING. THE SHEAR AXIS IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY PUSH EAST AND NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. THIS FEATURE WILL ACT AS THE MAIN FOCUS FOR CONVECTION LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN HIGH (NEAR 2 INCHES) ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST COUNTIES OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THEREFORE...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF LAVACA...DEWITT AND KARNES COUNTIES. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 90S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY TO MID 70S OVER THE SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE PLAINS. BY MONDAY...THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH BUILDS ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AREA WHILE STRETCHES TO THE EAST. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS THE FAR EAST COUNTIES MONDAY AFTERNOON AS A WEAK UPPER INVERTED TROUGH SITS ALONG THE COASTAL WATERS. OTHERWISE...PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN THE MORNING BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S IN MOST AREAS. && .LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)... AN EASTERLY/TROPICAL WAVE WILL CROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ON MONDAY AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF WATERS. BY THEN...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MARGINAL CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT AND THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS GIVING A FORMATION CHANCE OF 50% BY MID-WEEK. THERE WILL BE PLENTY TROPICAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE GULF WATERS ARRIVING TO TEXAS COAST LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AND PROBABLY THURSDAY. HAVE INCLUDED LOW CHANCES FOR RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH PORTIONS OF THE AREA FOR THAT PERIOD. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN LATE IN THE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND AS SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REGAIN CONTROL AND SITS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 97 76 99 78 97 / 10 - - - 10 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 96 74 98 75 97 / 20 - 10 - 10 NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 97 74 99 76 98 / 20 - 10 - 10 BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 95 74 96 75 96 / 10 - - - 10 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 98 77 100 78 99 / - - - 0 - GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 95 75 97 77 96 / 10 - - - 10 HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 97 72 98 74 98 / 10 - - - 10 SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 96 75 98 76 96 / 20 - 10 - 10 LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 94 76 97 76 96 / 30 10 20 10 20 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 97 77 99 79 98 / 10 - - - 10 STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 98 76 100 78 98 / 20 - 10 - 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ MESOSCALE/AVIATION...18 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...17