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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDEWX Received: 2014-08-29 11:49 UTC
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087 FXUS64 KEWX 291149 AFDEWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 649 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014 .AVIATION... A WEAK PRESSURE FIELD AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE WILL PRODUCE A FEW IFR CIGS EARLY TODAY...FOLLOWED BY BROKEN MVFR CIGS FOR MUCH OF THE MORNING ALONG I-35. A WEAKENING COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL TX SHOULD PROVIDE A LATE MORNING FOCAL POINT FOR MAINLY SHOWERS OVER AUSTIN. SLIGHTLY STRONGER CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONVERGE OVER THE SAN ANTONIO METRO AREA AROUND MIDDAY WITH A HIGHER AMOUNT OF LIGHTNING ACTIVITY EXPECTED. THESE RAIN CHANCES COULD EXTEND INTO LATE IN THE DAY AS PRECIPITABLE WATER AMOUNTS REMAIN HIGH. A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OVER 30 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOULD DECREASE BY LATE IN THE EVENING...AND MORE MVFR...POSSIBLY IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE EARLY TO LATE MORNING HOURS SATURDAY. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 401 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014/ SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)... REGIONAL RADAR IMAGES ARE SHOWING TWO DISTINCT AREAS OF CONVECTION THIS MORNING. ONE OF THE AREAS IS LOCATED ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS PUSHING TO THE SOUTHEAST ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH. THIS FEATURE IS THE REFLECTION OF A MID-LEVEL TROUGH AXIS PUSHING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE SECOND FEATURE IS JUST OFFSHORE FROM DEEP SOUTH TX. THESE TWO FEATURES WILL COMBINE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 281. WITH PWATS NEAR 2 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES...CAN'T RULE OUT HEAVY RAIN/LOCALIZED FLOODING. ALSO... LOCAL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORM THAT DOES DEVELOP. SOME LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT THE HILL COUNTRY AND FAR SOUTHEAST PART OF OUR CWA DURING THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE MUCH OF THE ACTIVITY COMES TO AN END. FOR SATURDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35 AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SLOWLY EXITS THE LOCAL AREA AND PUSHES TO THE SOUTHEAST. HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS INCLUDING THE FAR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES AS PWATS REMAIN NEAR 2 INCHES. LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)... A ZONAL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTROL THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH ONLY SEA-BREEZE TYPE CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES DURING THE AFTERNOON PERIOD FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL AVERAGES WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S AND LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 97 76 96 76 97 / 40 20 30 20 10 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 96 73 96 74 97 / 40 20 30 20 10 NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 97 74 97 74 98 / 30 20 30 20 10 BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 95 74 94 74 95 / 30 30 20 10 10 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 99 77 98 77 98 / 20 20 10 10 - GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 95 75 95 76 96 / 40 30 30 20 10 HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 97 73 97 74 97 / 20 20 20 10 10 SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 96 75 96 75 96 / 40 20 30 20 10 LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 95 75 93 76 96 / 50 20 40 20 30 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 97 77 97 78 97 / 30 20 20 20 10 STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 98 76 98 76 99 / 30 20 20 20 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ MESOSCALE/AVIATION...18 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...17