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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDEWX Received: 2014-08-02 04:58 UTC
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173 FXUS64 KEWX 020458 AFDEWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1158 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014 .AVIATION... /ISSUED FOR 06Z TAF DISCUSSION/ AREAS OF MVFR CIGS WILL DEVELOP WESTWARD FROM EAST TX OVERNIGHT AND LIKELY REACH THE AUSTIN AREA BY DAYBREAK. SAT/SSF ARE NOT AS CERTAIN TO SEE THE LOW CIGS. PERSISTENT INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE OVER THE RIO GRANDE AND POSSIBLY IMPACT DRT AT ANY POINT IN TIME THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY. MORE LOW CIGS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 24-30 HOUR FORECAST FOR AUS/SAT. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 845 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/ UPDATE...CONVECTION HAS ENDED ACROSS THE EWX CWA...SHIFTING WELL SOUTH OF THE CWA INTO REMAINING INSTABILITY AND BETTER LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE. A FEW MODELS INDICATING RE-DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING NEAR THE CRP/EWX CWA BORDER ACROSS COASTAL PLAINS UP THROUGH THW EDWARD PLATAEA...CURRENTLY HANDLED WITH THE LOW POPS. NO MAJOR CHANGES REQUIRED TO ONGOING FORECAST. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 648 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/ AVIATION... MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS...ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AND SCATTERED AREAS OF CIRROSTRATUS WILL HOLD VFR SKIES IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST 07Z AND PROBABLY CLOSER TO DAYBREAK. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO RETREAT SOUTHWARD OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND SHOULD NOT BE A FACTOR FOR THE TAF SITES. AFTER A FEW HOURS OF MORNING MVFR CIGS ALONG I-35 VFR SKIES SHOULD HOLD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIODS. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/ SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)... ABUNDANT CLOUDINESS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE KEPT HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S. A STATIONARY BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AND GENERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS AND GULF COASTAL WATERS. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ACROSS THE TRANS-PECOS THIS AFTERNOON WILL SLOWLY PUSH TO THE SOUTHEAST AND PRODUCE CHANCES OF RAIN ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS THROUGH SATURDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY TO THE UPPER 70S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. SATURDAY'S HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOWER 90S IN MOST AREAS. LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)... WEATHER PATTERN WILL NOT CHANGE A WHOLE LOT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOMINATES THE WESTERN HALF OF CONUS WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SITS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF. AT THE SURFACE...REMNANTS OF THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS WILL LINGER AROUND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND PRODUCE ENOUGH LIFT FOR SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES. BY WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...AN UPPER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND FLATTENING THINGS OUT ACROSS MUCH OF THE COUNTRY. A WARMING TREND IS IN STORE FROM THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK INTO FRIDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 70 93 72 92 73 / - 10 - 10 - AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 68 92 69 92 70 / - 10 - 10 - NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 70 94 70 94 71 / - 10 - 10 - BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 70 90 70 90 71 / - - - - - DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 77 92 76 96 77 / 20 30 10 10 - GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 69 91 71 91 71 / - - - 10 - HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 72 94 71 95 71 / 10 10 10 10 - SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 69 93 70 92 71 / - 10 - 10 - LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 71 91 72 93 73 / - 10 10 10 10 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 74 93 74 93 75 / 10 10 10 10 - STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 73 94 73 94 73 / 10 10 10 10 - && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ MESOSCALE/AVIATION...18 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...76