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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDABR Received: 2014-08-01 08:24 UTC
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597 FXUS63 KABR 010824 AFDABR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD 324 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014 .SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE COUNTRY THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. WILL SEE SOME WEAK ENERGY RIDE OVER THE RIDGE AND ACROSS THE CWA TODAY...THEN AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CWA. WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA...BUT WITH NO REAL SIGNIFICANT BOUNDARY AROUND. THEREFORE...WILL ONCE AGAIN JUST SEE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS OR WEAK THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING...MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN CWA WHERE WEAK INSTABILITY DEVELOPS. WITH NO REAL UPPER SUPPORT LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS...THEN WILL REINTRODUCE SMALL POPS TO THE NORTHEASTERN CWA IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER WAVE SATURDAY NIGHT. SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE PRETTY MUCH DRY AS THE WAVE TRACKS AWAY FROM THE AREA. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE EAST...AND IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE WEST. .LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MID LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE ROCKIES SHOULD GRADUALLY DE-AMPLIFY AS ENERGY MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE RIDGE AND FLATTENS IT. THERE ARE CHANCES FOR CONVECTION JUST ABOUT EVERY PERIOD OF THE LONG TERM...HOWEVER THE BEST OPPORTUNITY LOOKS TO BE ABOUT TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS MORE CONSOLIDATED LOOKING ENERGY WILL BE ABLE TO INTERACT WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY BOUNDARY ACROSS THE REGION. THUS POPS ARE HIGHEST FOR THIS TIME PERIOD. THE REST OF THE TIME WILL FEATURE HIT AND MISS RAIN CHANCES. TEMPERATURES WILL PROBABLY START OUT NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD...THEN TREND TO NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. && .AVIATION... 06Z TAFS FOR THE KABR...KATY...KPIR AND KMBG TERMINALS VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL SD. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE ISOLATED NATURE...WILL NOT INCLUDE A MENTION IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 KTS NEAR KMBG/KPIR ON FRIDAY. && .ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SD...NONE. MN...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...PARKIN LONG TERM...TDK AVIATION...TDK WEATHER.GOV/ABERDEEN