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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDABR Received: 2014-07-25 05:39 UTC
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112 FXUS63 KABR 250539 AAA AFDABR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD 1239 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014 .UPDATE... 06Z AVIATION FORECAST DISCUSSION UPDATED BELOW. && .SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AREA OF CONVECTION THAT AFFECTED MUCH OF THE EASTERN CWA THIS AFTERNOON WAS ALMOST OUT OF THE CWA AS OF 20Z. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE WEST OF THE REGION WILL TRACK ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WITH A SHORTWAVE SET TO RIDE OVER AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CURRENTLY OVER THE AREA...THERE MAY STILL BE SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS DURING FROM MID EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. ONE HINDERING FACTOR WILL BE A FAIRLY STRONG CAP...SO WILL KEEP POPS LOW. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL BE DOMINATED BY THE SURFACE TROUGH SLOWLY TRACKING EASTWARD...WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN ON SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE MINIMAL THROUGHOUT THIS TIME PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL BE RIGHT AROUND NORMAL INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND...WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 80S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 5OS TO LOWER 60S. .LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD. THE HIGH BEGINS BUILDING IN ON SUNDAY AND CENTERS ITSELF OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING TRANQUIL WEATHER TO THE AREA...WITH PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND BEARABLE HUMIDITY LEVELS. UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS DOMINATED BY NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE PERIOD. BY THE MIDDLE AND END OF NEXT WEEK THE SFC HIGH WILL BE OUT OF THE AREA AND THERE WILL BE A FEW MORE CHANCES FOR PRECIP AS MODELS SHOWING SHORTWAVE ENERGY AND A COUPLE FRONTAL BOUNDARIES OVER THE AREA. && .AVIATION... 06Z TAFS FOR THE KABR...KATY...KPIR AND KMBG TERMINALS SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST BEHIND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. ANOTHER DIFFICULT CONVECTIVE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 6 HOURS WITH STORMS POSSIBLY AFFECTING ABR...ATY AND MBG. && .ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SD...NONE. MN...NONE. && $$ UPDATE...MOHR SHORT TERM...PARKIN LONG TERM...TMT AVIATION...MOHR WEATHER.GOV/ABERDEEN