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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDFFC Received: 2014-04-23 05:26 UTC
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919 FXUS62 KFFC 230526 AFDFFC AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 126 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1010 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014/ EVENING UPDATE... PATCHY FOG BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL GA AROUND MACON...AND SOME AREAS COULD BE DENSE AT TIMES. EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE ACROSS MAINLY CENTRAL GA WHERE DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE 60S WITH WET GROUNDS AND CLEAR SKIES. THE FRONT SHOULD EVENTUALLY MOVE ACROSS THIS AREA DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS... AND WITH DRIER AIR EXPECTED TO FILTER SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT... NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD DENSE FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE. HOWEVER...WILL HAVE TO MONITOR FOR THIS POTENTIAL CLOSELY OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT IS STILL ACROSS NORTH GA AND NOT MOVING SOUTHWARD VERY FAST. /39 EVENING UPDATE... /ISSUED AT 740 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014/ ALTHOUGH THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT IS JUST NOW PUSHING INTO NW GA... THE PREFRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH AND DRIVING UPPER DISTURBANCE ARE ALL PUSHING EAST AND TAKING THE THREAT OF THUNDER WITH IT. RADAR SHOWING ONLY A FEW LINGERING STORMS IN OUR FAR SW FORECAST AREA NEAR LYONS... AND THESE STORMS SHOULD BE OUT OF THE AREA BY 8 PM. HAVE REMOVED ALL MENTION OF THUNDER FOR NORTH AND MOST OF CENTRAL GA FOR THIS EVENING... EXCEPT HELD ONTO A SLIGHT CHANCE SOUTH OF A COLUMBUS TO MACON TO LOUISVILLE LINE THROUGH 10 PM WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE STILL IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S AND 500-800 CAPE STILL LINGER. OTHERWISE... EXPECT THE FRONT TO PUSH ACROSS ATLANTA METRO AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT... THEN CSG-MCN BY 02-04 AM. MAY SEE AN OCCASIONAL PATCH OF -RA UNTIL FROPA...THEN EXPECT CLEARING OVERNIGHT WITH A 5-10 MPH NW WIND USHERING IN A COOLER/DRIER AIRMASS FOR WED. /39 SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... /ISSUED AT 322 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014/ WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO NORTHWEST GA THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CWA THIS EVENING. WEAK DYNAMICS AND LIMITED MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT...SO EXPECTING MAINLY SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDER. WITH DAYTIME HEATING...A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG MAINLY OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RIDGE ALOFT BUILDING INTO THE CWA AFTER 06Z SHOULD BRING DRIER AIR INTO THE FORECAST AREA. EXPECT THE RAIN SHOULD BE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CWA AFTER 06Z. LOOKING FOR DRY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOME COOL AIR ADVECTION EXPECTED TONIGHT AFTER FROPA BUT ANY LINGERING CLOUDS COULD KEEP TEMPERATURES WARMER THAN FORECAST MAINLY CENTRAL ZONES. OTHERWISE A BLEND OF MODEL TEMPERATURES LOOKS OKAY. 41 LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... /ISSUED AT 322 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014/ HAVE MADE MINOR CHANGES TO THE POPS...MAINLY FOR THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY. DEEPEST MOISTURE RUNS OUT AHEAD OF THE INSTABILITY AND THE FRONT...AND WHILE ALL DEEP MOISTURE HAS EXITED BY FRIDAY MORNING...THERE COULD BE CONVECTION DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE THE CIN THAT FORMS OVER THE REGION AND ALTHOUGH THE CIN IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...IT COULD BE ENOUGH TO LIMIT ANY CONVECTION. WILL KEEP LOW END POPS GOING ON FRIDAY. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS... 17 && .AVIATION... 06Z UPDATE... PRETTY DIFFICULT TO FIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE PRESSURE PATTERN...BUT IT IS PRETTY WELL DEPICTED ACROSS NORTHERN GA IN THE DEWPOINT FIELD. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE SLOWLY SOUTH OVERNIGHT. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL GA. NO VSBY RESTRICTIONS ANTICIPATED AT ATL AT THIS TIME...BUT IF THE FRONT IS SLOWER THAN ANTICIPATED PATCHY FOG MAY FORM. WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND TO THE NW BEFORE 12Z. //ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE... MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON RESTRICTED VSBYS AND WIND SHIFT. HIGH CONFIDENCE REMAINING ELEMENTS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ATHENS 77 48 78 59 / 0 0 5 20 ATLANTA 74 53 79 61 / 0 0 5 20 BLAIRSVILLE 71 43 74 54 / 0 0 5 50 CARTERSVILLE 73 43 79 58 / 0 0 5 30 COLUMBUS 79 54 80 60 / 0 0 5 5 GAINESVILLE 74 50 75 59 / 0 0 5 30 MACON 80 49 82 60 / 0 0 5 5 ROME 74 43 80 58 / 0 5 5 30 PEACHTREE CITY 76 45 80 59 / 0 0 5 10 VIDALIA 81 58 83 62 / 0 0 5 5 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$