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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDEWX Received: 2014-04-17 08:47 UTC
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050 FXUS64 KEWX 170847 AFDEWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 347 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014 .SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER NEW MEXICO WILL MOVE ACROSS TEXAS WITH A LEFT EXIT REGION OF AN UPPER LEVEL JET OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT CHANCES OF SHOWERS FOR THE EASTERN HALF. HAVE ADDED SLIGHT CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN PARTS DUE TO A FAVORABLE JET POSITION ENHANCING LIFT. AS THE TROUGH AND JET MOVE EAST OF TEXAS...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS OVERNIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS NORTH ENDING THE RAIN CHANCES ON BRIEF DRYING ALOFT. SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE HIGHS DUE TO CLOUDS TODAY WARMING TO NEAR AVERAGE ON FRIDAY. && .LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY MIDWAY BETWEEN CALIFORNIA AND HAWAII WILL MOVE ACROSS TEXAS THIS WEEKEND SHOVING THE UPPER RIDGE BACK SOUTH. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE RIO GRANDE FRIDAY NIGHT AND THEN SPREAD ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. DUE TO STEEPER LAPSE RATES...WEAK SHEAR AND ENHANCED BUOYANCY SOME STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE. ESPECIALLY WITH THUNDERSTORMS COMING OFF THE SERRANIAS DEL BURRO MOUNTAINS WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE. THE TROUGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST ON MONDAY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ENDING. A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY MAY SAG INTO FAR NORTHERN AREAS ON TUESDAY TO CREATE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THERE. HOWEVER...WILL NOT MENTION AT THIS TIME AS 00Z MODELS RUNS SHOWING THIS FOR FIRST TIME. WILL WAIT FOR SOME CONSISTENCY. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REBUILDS FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH A STRONG CAP OF WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND NO RAIN CHANCES. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND DUE TO CLOUDS AND RAIN WITH WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 72 58 79 57 81 / 20 20 10 10 10 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 72 56 79 56 81 / 20 20 10 10 10 NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 74 57 81 57 81 / 20 20 10 10 10 BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 72 56 78 56 78 / 20 20 10 10 10 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 83 62 82 64 82 / - 10 10 10 30 GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 71 56 78 57 79 / 20 20 10 10 10 HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 78 59 83 59 81 / 20 10 10 10 20 SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 74 56 80 57 80 / 20 20 10 10 10 LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 72 57 80 56 81 / 20 20 10 10 10 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 76 59 81 58 81 / 20 20 10 10 20 STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 76 60 82 59 82 / 20 20 10 10 20 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ MESOSCALE/AVIATION...99 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04